Sunday, January 10, 2010

Illinois Polls




Polls from the Peoples Democrat Republic of Illinois

Election 2010: Illinois Senate Election
2010 Illinois Senate: Giannoulias 42%, Kirk 39%

Friday, December 11, 2009

Democratic State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias has now crept past Republican Congressman Mark Kirk in Illinois’ 2010 race for the U.S. Senate, and other Democratic hopefuls are closing the gap.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Illinois voters finds Giannoulias ahead of Kirk 42% to 39%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and 15% are undecided.

In October, the two men were tied at 41% each. In mid-August, Kirk held a modest 41% to 38% lead over Giannoulias.

Kirk remains ahead of another Democratic hopeful, Cheryle Jackson, president of the Chicago Urban League and a former top aide to disgraced Governor Rod Blagojevich, but his lead has shrunk dramatically. Ahead of Jackson by 17 points – 47% to 30% - in August, he now leads just 42% to 39%. Four percent (4%) like another candidate, and 15% are not sure.

The Republican holds a similar 42% to 38% lead over Chicago Inspector General David Hoffman, another contender for the Democratic senatorial nomination. Kirk led Hoffman 43% to 33% in October. Seventeen percent (17%) are undecided, while three percent (3%) favor another candidate.

Roland Burris, who Blagojevich appointed to fill out the remainder of President Obama’s Senate term, is not running for a full term, Giannoulias, who is also from Chicago, is considered the favorite in the February 2 Democratic Primary.

Kirk remains the most prominent Illinois Republican in the race at this time.

Thirteen percent (13%) of Illinois voters have a favorable opinion of Kirk, and eight percent (8%) view him very unfavorably. For Giannoulias, his very favorables and very unfavorables are at 14% each.

Jackson is viewed very favorably by eight percent (8%) and very unfavorably by 16%. Six percent (6%) have a very favorable view of Hoffman, while 11% regard him very unfavorably, Both Jackson and Hoffman are much less well-known than Kirk or Giannoulias.

At this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.

Support for the health care plan proposed by the president and congressional Democrats is higher in Illinois than it is nationally. Fifty percent (50%) favor the plan, while 46% oppose it. These numbers include 27% who strongly favor the plan versus 38% who strongly oppose it.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Illinois voters believe the plan will increase the deficit, and 71% think a middle class tax increase is at least somewhat likely to pay for it.

Illinois voters are split over the creation of a government-sponsored non-profit health insurance option. Forty-three percent (43%) like the idea and 39% oppose it. But if such an option might cause employers to drop coverage and push their workers onto the government-run plan, just 26% still favor it.

Forty-six percent (46%) of Illinois voters think Obama is doing a good or excellent job handling the war in Afghanistan. Twenty-three percent (23%) rate his performance as poor.

Fifty-six percent (56%) support the president’s plan to put 30,000 more troops into the war there, and a plurality (49%) back his timetable for beginning to withdraw troops in 18 months. Overall, 46% like his plan for Afghanistan, and 33% oppose it.

Obama was a big winner in his home state last November, carrying it by a 62% to 37% margin over John McCain. Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Illinois voters now approve of the job the president is doing, with 40% who strongly approve. Forty-two percent (42%) disapprove of how he is performing, including 33% who strongly disapprove. These numbers are far better than those nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Fifty-one percent (51%) approve of Governor Pat Quinn’s performance. Forty-seven percent (47%) disapprove. But Illinois voters are nearly three times as likely to strongly disapprove rather than strongly approve of the job he’s doing.

No comments:

Post a Comment